BY DAN VALENTI

PLANET VALENTI NEWS AND COMMENTARY

(FORTRESS OF SOLITUDE, THURSDAY NOV. 3, 2016) — You know how THE PLANET feels about polls. They can’t never be taken at face value. Nonetheless, THE PLANET cannot ignore the most recent ABC-TV conducted by Langer Research Associates. It shows that Donald Trump has caught and moved narrowly ahead of Hillary Clinton, 46% to 45%. The razor-thin edge comes more into focus when you consider:

1. Hillary has led every week since June until this week,
2. Last week the same poll showed her up by 12 points.
3. Swings of that much in a respected poll are considered statistically significant.
4. The marginal factors — third-party candidates Gary Johnson (Libertarian, 3%) and Jill Stein (Green, 2%), the poll’s sampling error of +/- 3%, and the pool of “dreaded others such as undecided, won’t vote, don’t care — will be a factor on Tuesday.

Look More Closely, and Trump’s Lead is Even Bigger

If you dissect the ABC-Langley poll, the data underneath shows Trump even stronger than 1% ahead.

• Results held true in 23 “likely voter models” that Langley produced “for diagnostic purposes.” Of the individual diagnostic models, 17 individually show Trump with that 1% lead, a highly indicative result. On mean average, and if ever an election had a “mean” average it’s this one, all 23 models show Trump in the lead (as of yesterday).
• Trump has a double-digit lead among “pure independents” (those who don’t lean to a political party). They may decide the entire shooting match.
• Trump also wins nearly 10% of all Democrats or Democrat “leaners.” Clinton only has 6% of Republicans or GOP “leaners.” That’s a 4% edge for Trump in the “party swap” factor.
• One of the least noticed factors in the poll’s sub-data is the measurement of voter enthusiasm, elicited through questions designed to cross-check each other. The ABC-Langley data show Trump leading Clinton by 8% among “voters who are very enthusiastic about their choice.” That may be the most important predictive element in the data.

 Is a Constitutional Crisis Looming?

The United States of America will be in for a dramatic Tuesday. If Clinton wins, her troubles might just be starting. Begin the beguine, baby.

Clinton is now the subject of a criminal investigation by the FBI. The question then becomes, “Can someone under such shadow be elected to office before a determination of guilt?” Will this force a constitutional crisis that would make Bush-Gore in 2000 look like “Hippety Hop to the Barber Shop?”

Chairman of the House Homeland Security Committee, Rep. Mike McCaul, said, “This investigation will continue whether [Clinton] wins or not. But assuming she wins and the investigation goes forward and it looks like an indictment is pending — at that point in time, under the Constitution, the House representatives would engage in an impeachment trial.”

Hilldog could rival William Henry Harrison for shortest presidential term of all time. He caught pneumonia. She caught herself.

If Hillary is elected and the investigation produces an indictment prior to the Inauguration, what then? Can a President-elect be impeached? Will she be barred from taking office?

McCaul blasted Clinton for “running around saying she has been cleared when that’s not a correct statement,” Washington-speak for “She’s lying her toosh off.”

McCaul continued: “There is new evidence reopening the case — evidence that can be quite damaging. To get a search warrant [as the FBI did] you have to have probable cause. They had probable cause to get a search warrant on Huma Abedin’s laptop.” Abedin, of course, has been Hillary’s confidante and mini-me. She is the estranged wife of ex-Democrat congressman and perv Anthony Weiner, on whose computer the FBI found tens of thousands of suspect e-mails pertaining to Clinton’s term as Secretary of State. Abedin says she doesn’t know how the e-mail’s got on her husband’s computer. She’s now off the campaign trail and in hiding.

Weiner, Wasserman, Brazille, Abedin: Reminds THE PLANET of the adage, “Show me who your friends are, and I’ll tell you what you are.”

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“Fighting corruption is not just good government. It’s self-defense. It’s patriotism.” — Joe Biden

“OPEN THE WINDOW, AUNT MILLIE.”

LOVE TO ALL.

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